Sara 2024

AL192024 Advisory Number 18,

DISCLAIMER This is not official information or modeling, I’m just a dude on the internet. Please follow all guidance from NOAA and your local officials.

Windfield Map

gis_img

  • as of 2024-11-18T03:01:50+00:00
  • 100px per degree
  • GWAF 0.9
  • No Friction
  • default radius of maximum wind is 15kts

Data Files

Download Zip

File List:

  • sara2024_100x100.csv
  • sara2024_100x100.png
  • sara2024_100x100.wld
  • sara2024_100x100_2024-11-18T030100+0000.jpeg

Official Advisory Discussion

At 900 PM CST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Sara was located inland near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 90.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion should continue overnight. On the forecast track, the center of Sara will continue to move over the Yucatan Peninsula through Monday morning.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Further weakening is expected, and Sara is forecast to become a remnant low or open into a trough of low pressure by Monday morning.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

Key Messages for Tropical Depression Sara can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml

RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are expected over northern Honduras, with storm total amounts locally as high as 40 inches. The risk of catastrophic and life-threatening flooding impacts will continue, especially along and near the Sierra La Esperanza.

Across portions of Belize, El Salvador, eastern Guatemala, western Nicaragua, and the Mexican State of Quintana Roo, Tropical Storm Sara is expected to produce an additional 3 to 5 inches of rain with localized storm totals around 15 inches. This will result in areas of flash flooding, perhaps significant, along with the potential of mudslides.

For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Sara, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/205755.shtml? rainqpf#contents

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST.

$$ Forecaster Reinhart